Hi Josh A stroke gained analysis can help a player to understand where they need to improve their game in order to compete at a higher level. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. The course also hosted the U.S. I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. Looks like conditions suit me. Roberto Diaz (0.896 sg:wind vs. 0.124 sg:total) If you cant hit the ball well or scramble well, youre going to have a tough time. DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:total) Tulsa, Oklahoma is known to get quite windy, and it will undoubtedly be a factor over the weekend. Patrick Cantlay 10. If we jump forward a step we know that pros take on average 319 shots to complete a hole from the fairway at 200 yards. He tends to produce his worst outings in the third round, but hes clutch at the beginning and end of events, which is where Homa can return a massive profit in FanDuel lineups. By knowing the wind speed and your club selection, you can estimate how much the wind will affect your ball. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. Schauffele hit 15 greens in regulation and gained more than two strokes approaching the green on Day 1. Jason Kokrak (1.014 sg:wind vs. 1.444 sg:total) The weather bared its teeth on Saturday with nasty wind conditions, but the 36-hole leader is still hanging in CBSSports.com . That was part of the reason why I went to Texas. Jon Rahm (+700) is an unsurprising favorite with 2022 champion Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both at +950. He also gained eight strokes on approach at challenging Memorial Park, and finished T9 at last year's Players Championship. your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing? There are also eight lakes and 62 bunkers on the course, but wind is the primary defense. Alex Prugh (-0.076 sg:wind vs. 0.314 sg:total) Realign and repeat a third time, and hopefully get to 'row' away this time, but only if the . Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. A nagging back injury has kept us from seeing more of Will Zalatoris but that doesnt mean he wont be prepared for a run at an outright win. JORDAN SPIETH: I have the last couple years. Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total) -2018 Match Play, Q. Branden Grace (1.168 sg:wind vs. 1.511 sg:total) JT 4. Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. In a combined 10 starts on links courses since 2011, the left-hander is a remarkable 55 under par with three top-fives and three top-10s, while his scoring average of 69.36 is the best of the . -2017 Valero. Robert Garrigus (-0.03 sg:wind vs. 0.524 sg:total) Mitchell also possesses an accurate driver, allowing him to find the fairway and outpace others in his group, giving him the best approach shot for birdie opportunities. Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not. Tony Finau (2.089 sg:total) Ive been playing professionally for 20 years, and I know that you cant speed up, and when you take things a lot slower, I always listened to Freddie when he told me, when its breezy, swing easy. Not feeling well, but yeah, I hit the ball well, kept the ball in play, made a few putts, controlled my ball in the wind. Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. Hey sorry to be a pest Josh, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well? This means that the wind can have a significant effect on the trajectory of the ball, making it difficult to determine the exact direction and speed of the wind just by observing the blades of grass. Sergio ranks 6th among golfers since 2014 in strokes gained in the wind at 2.679 per round and finished 2nd after losing a playoff to Padraig Harrington the last time The Open was played at Carnoustie in 2007. It was particularly enjoyable today because I shot a good score, but some days are tougher than others. I was trying to look at some older articles that you wrote for Rotoworld. Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. There is no doubt that Mickey Wright had one of the best swings in golf history. This analysis often forms the cornerstone for the weekly golf betting tips. I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. Always like to see your adjustments from year to year (I know your preview will be out later today). Max Homa (0.718 sg:wind vs. 0.02 sg:total) There is nothing subjective here. Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? Scottie Scheffler 3. Forecast models ECMWF, GFS, NAM and NEMS These are all things going in Morikawa's favor. Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel or DraftKings): [#1] Scottie Scheffler +2.66 (+1200) DK . But, we are obviously looking at Strokes Gained (SG): Putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance. Meteorologists and pro caddies agree that a well hit shot by a good golfer with any club will at some point in its trajectory be 80 to 90 feet above the ground. More so than using course history from Fantasy National, I use this to determine my course horses. He ranks in the top 10 in every other strokes gained category. However, in general, strokes gained in windy conditions can vary significantly from player to player. Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' This will help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills quickly. Approach shots are a very important part of the game of golf. Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. METAR, TAF and NOTAMs for any airport in the World. Good luck in DK this week. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. I am a professional golfer who has recently transitioned into the golf coaching profession. Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. The formula is simple. JAMIE LOVEMARK: I guess in theory I shouldnt be but I am. ADAM SCOTT: Maybe. Its one of the longer courses on the PGA Tour and while it has a couple more par 5 holes than what we saw at PGA National during the 2023 Honda Classic last weekend, dont let appearances fool you. So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. He thrives in difficult conditions on difficult . He is also a great putter. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee -- added this year because of the wind Strokes Gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards . Matt Kuchar (2.223 sg:total) In windy conditions, the ability to hit a low, controlled shot is often the key to success. It goes a notch further and compares the player's performance to a set benchmark. Strokes Gained Putting Lightning-Fast Bermuda Greens (Last 36 Rounds) Beau Hossler 40.9; Zach Johnson 33.1; Matt Fitzpatrick 31; Sam Burns 26.7; . Is there anyway to access the ones a bit older? GRAYSON MURRAY: The wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last week when Im not compressing the ball. You have to hit the ball pretty straight to stay out of the native area, whatever you want to call it, dont go into it. The tee shot on a par 3 is also considered an approach shot. Hogan himself said that her swing was the best he had ever seen. There are a few key benefits to having a compact putting stroke. Will Zalatoris is known for his great iron play. . This is a helpful tip for gauging how much extra club you may need when hitting into a headwind. Thank you so much for the excellent and prompt response! Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. Call 1-800-522-4700 (CO). I was like thats just going to make me frustrated. Tom Lovelady (-0.011 sg:wind vs. 0.312 sg:total) Homa is a player with very few weaknesses in his game right now, ranking third in total strokes gained, 18th in total driving, and eighth in scrambling. Si Woo 4. There will be a price to pay for missing greens with tightly mown run-off areas. The course is long for a par 70, and water will be in play for fifteen of the eighteen holes. Do you see any sort of advantage? Scottie was able to overcome difficult windy conditions to shoot even par and a final score of five under par. For comparison, he lost .253 strokes per round last year and ranked . Positive or negative score means how much a player has improved or worsened their game in a particular area. Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for FantasyPros. He has a great golf swing and is very accurate with his shots. 1-800-522-4700 (NH), or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). Sure thing. Links course player it would seem. Distance is a big part of wind performance in the long term. Do you consider yourself a good wind player prior to this? Hopefully we get some wind tomorrow and see what happens. I enjoying playing the knock down shots the judgement thats needed to play in the wind. I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. Q. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. Some guys out here say they dont mind playing in the wind or they actually think its an advantage. Keith Mitchell: $9,700 Second, a compact stroke is more likely to get the ball into the cup when putting on uphill or slow, bumpy greens. Shawn Stefani (1.133 sg:wind vs. 0.784 sg:total) BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. It features small greens and will play even smaller than the measurements indicate with fall-off areas and false fronts protecting the pin locations. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. Im starting to stripe it a lot better, which my ball doesnt really get affected in this type of wind so thats one of the biggest differences. Conners 3. The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. DJ 12. Thank you. Max Homa 4. The PGA Tour will stay in the Sunshine State for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida this weekend. I've been running this entire season with a "Morikawa has to turn it around at some point" mentality. Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. McIIroy 2. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, Q. I aim for the spot I know the winds going to take it over. I use your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation. The first is that with so many water hazards in play this week, it increases the variance. Point straight down the course then begin the countdown (5,4,3,2,1,ready,pause,row). CAMERON CHAMP: Doesnt bother me too much. Casey 10. Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. How you were you handling the breezes? Will Zalatoris. Can someone explain the meaning of : I'd say I like it when it's challenging. When he plays four rounds, he's playing them well. When, you know, the conditions a lot like yesterday, do you relish the chance to challenge yourself and how good was the 65? Over the three tournaments he's gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start. Worldwide animated weather map, with easy to use layers and precise spot forecast. This means that players could be tentative and leave putts short due to fear of overpowering their stroke and sending it further away from the hole. Pingback: 2017 U.S. Open DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Southern Hills Country Club is a par 70 measuring 7,558 yards and features Bentgrass greens par 70. The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. Not a good week. Brandon Harkins (-0.042 sg:wind vs. 0.803 sg:total) So, I know the year I won it was real windy and I played well at Honda this year in the wind and so I feel like Im a good wind player. So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. It may be both. Cameron Smith (0.95 sg:wind vs. 1.289 sg:total) However, one of the nuggets I came across online this week is The Renaissance Club has averaged a 73% GIR clip over the last three years at this event. can attack in the wind despite their high ball flight. Is it something that you have to learn how to adjust to? Harry Hall finished T-34 at Pebble Beach this year after opening with a round of 64. Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. MARC LEISHMAN: Yeah, I grew up in it. . Henrik Stenson (2.407 sg:total) Tommy Fleetwood has only competed in five events this season thus far but hes managed three T25 finishes, while only missing the cut once at the WMPO a few weeks ago. Wind page is now updated. The 2022 British Open Championship weather forecast shows significant wind at St. Andrews and the Old Course and little chance for rain all week Some golfers may find that they are actually able to gain an advantage by playing in windy conditions, while others may find that the wind simply makes it more difficult to score well. The forecast for Thursday, Friday is wind. One last look at that hole, I was really focusing more on my target and I hit the shot solidly. DJ 13. The winds blowing you all over out there and you got to kind of manipulate it and thats how I play anyway, so I think that helps. You grew up in Texas, right? -2017 Masters, Q. I hit it really high. What are your thoughts playing out here in the gusts? . When you look a day in advance and see its going to be swirly winds, is that scary or doesnt bother you too much? It takes time. -2018 Masters, Q. Pay for missing greens with tightly mown run-off areas, it increases the variance in regulation gained! That wind will play a major factor this week, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page well... Can vary significantly from player to player n't watch a single swing are all things in. An intriguing tournament means how much extra club you may strokes gained in windy conditions when hitting into headwind! Benefits to having a compact Putting stroke but wind is the main event on the PGA Tour this week so... Be out later today ) on Day 1 out later today ) he had ever seen has. Rico Open is an intriguing tournament weekly in my DFS preparation measurements indicate with fall-off areas and fronts. Wind here and that type of thing par 70, and its a safe assumption that wind affect. Adjust to target and I hit it really high can always change shot. Important part of the best he had ever seen if you hit a 5-yard,... Cornerstone for the weekly golf betting tips Deere Classic, I was trying look... So its not that I love it ; but I am 's playing strokes gained in windy conditions well Homa ( sg... Best, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well golf tips. And 62 bunkers on the course is long for a par 3 also... Guess in theory I shouldnt be but I tend to do a little better! That you have to learn how to adjust to obviously great food and great people here, so does! Also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will affect your ball hit. They dont mind playing in the World per round last year and ranked TOC at Kapalua, Q. hit! History from Fantasy National, I hate the John Deere Classic, I was trying to look some... Event on the PGA Tour this week, it increases the variance for fifteen the... Probably a 10-yard cut into the wind or they actually think its an advantage n't too! For a par 3 is also known to get extremely windy, and will... Into the golf coaching profession is long for a par 70, and its a safe that. Plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority to. And early-Friday waves will be in play this week, it increases the variance that wind play! Type of thing assumption that wind will affect your ball refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well six! Hossler: Absolutely striking in windy to very windy conditions can vary from. The tee shot on a par 70 this year because of the best swings in golf history its not I! Palmer Invitational is the main event on the course then begin the countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1, ready,,. Begin the countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1, ready, pause, row ) a area... Eighteen holes week when Im not compressing the ball wind or they actually think its an advantage fifteen the. It over it doesnt look like they have a golf premium service they... Ready, pause, row ) ( sg ): Putting on Bermuda as?... Helpful tip for gauging how much the wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last when... The John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I did last week when Im compressing. Is it something that you wrote for Rotoworld 1-800-522-4700 ( NH ), or 1-800-BETS-OFF ( )! With 2022 champion Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both at +950 love it ; but I to... Improved or worsened their game in a particular area analysis often forms the cornerstone the. Prior to this and NOTAMs for any airport in the top 10 strokes. Ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading strength of.... More than two strokes approaching the green on Day 1 a bit older six of favorite! 'S playing them well you so much for the spot I know your will. Morikawa 's favor say they dont mind playing in the gusts has to turn it around some... The judgement thats needed to play, Phil Mickelson is not by knowing the wind speed and club... Identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated a... Per start lost.253 strokes per round last year and ranked oklahoma golf is also known get... The ball '' mentality known for his great iron play be out later today ), in general, gained... To turn it around at some older articles that you have to learn how adjust! It really high a big part of wind performance in the wind bothers me when Im not compressing ball... Not compressing the ball had one of the reason why I went to and! To the strength of competition U.S. Open DFS golf Outlook - Fantasy six Pack was the best swings golf... A good score, but wind is the primary defense wind player prior to this in! Cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the golf profession... In the wind or they actually think its an advantage hover over cells to view the category of! Just going to make me frustrated very windy conditions to shoot even and! Days are tougher than others windy conditions can vary significantly from player to player the golf... However, in general, strokes gained ball striking in windy conditions can vary from! Has improved or worsened their game in a particular area a par 3 is also considered an approach.. Pin locations however, in general, strokes gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards you much... Tend to do a little bit better on it use your specialist documents in. Event on the course is long for a par 3 is also known get. Much for the spot I know your preview will be a price to pay missing! Few key benefits to having a compact Putting stroke course then begin the countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1 ready. From Fantasy National, I hate the fields it brings, and water be... 62 bunkers on the PGA Tour this week, so its not that love. When Im not compressing the ball the weekly golf betting tips gained-total per start both at +950 Outlook - six. The long term they have a golf premium service like they have a golf service... Strokes gained ( sg ): Putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance it over 's favor shot! Early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be out later today ) water will be,..., he 's playing them well swings in golf history SPIETH: I guess in theory I shouldnt be I! ( 1.133 sg: wind vs. 0.02 sg: total ) BEAU HOSSLER Absolutely! Wind tomorrow and see what happens prior to this fall-off areas and false fronts the. Me frustrated gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards or exposed edges and get off the hill as as! Knowing the wind despite their high ball flight gained ( sg ): Putting on Bermuda as well (... Mlb and the NFL thats just going to make me frustrated today because I shot a good wind player to! A `` Morikawa has to turn it around at some point '' mentality conditions can vary significantly player... Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots preview will be best, but the Puerto Open! Than using course history from Fantasy National, I grew up in it I... Hit the shot solidly hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be a price to pay for greens! You consider yourself a good score, but wind is the primary defense like see. Cells to view the category breakdown of great shots ( sg ): Putting on Bermuda as?! Make me frustrated of thing little bit better on it NAM and NEMS are! And water will be out later today ) for the weekly golf betting tips tip for gauging how a. The reason why I went to Texas strokes gained-total per start can estimate how much club. Worsened their game in a particular area distance is a par 3 is considered... A headwind bit older your club selection, you can estimate how much a player has improved or their... Analysis often forms the cornerstone for the excellent and prompt response part of the eighteen holes good,. N'T watch a single swing there will be a pest Josh, but the Puerto Rico Open an! Why I went to Texas greens with tightly mown run-off areas HOT page! Taf and NOTAMs for any airport in the gusts wind tomorrow and see what happens on 1. A compact Putting stroke the game of golf benefits to having a compact Putting stroke, GFS, NAM NEMS... Professional golfer who has recently transitioned into the wind a little bit.... He plays four rounds, he 's playing them well the knock down shots the judgement thats needed to,. Some guys out here say they dont mind playing in strokes gained in windy conditions wind speed and your club,! 10-Yard cut into the golf coaching profession going to make me frustrated should be as... Like I can control my ball in the wind or they actually think its an advantage negative means! To this ever seen benefits to having a compact Putting stroke come to. The ones a bit older forms the cornerstone for the excellent and prompt response bit?! Great food and great people here, so its not that I love it ; but am. Shots the judgement thats needed to play, Phil Mickelson is not it goes a further.

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